Bitcoin poised for 40% rally on Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill” and global liquidity
In a move echoing its past responses to monetary stimulus, Bitcoin (BTC) could climb as high as $150,000 in the weeks following U.S. President Trump’s anticipated signing of the “One Big Beautiful Bill” (OBBA). This package, featuring a sweeping $5 trillion debt ceiling increase, would inject massive liquidity into the economy — historically a bullish signal for BTC.
1. Historical precedent: 38% surge in 2020
When Trump enacted pandemic-era fiscal stimulus in late 2020, Bitcoin surged approximately 38% within weeks. A similar pattern today would push BTC from around $110,000 to a potential $150,000 ceiling.
2. Debt expansion and dollar weakness
With U.S. national debt projected to approach $40 trillion in 2025, analysts including The Kobeissi Letter highlight rising concerns over dollar depreciation. Such debt expansion typically precedes asset rotations into inflation hedges, including Bitcoin.
3. Global money supply still rising
Bitcoin’s historical correlation with global M2 money supply remains strong: rising broad liquidity has consistently trailed BTC’s ascent. M2 recently hit a record $55.4 trillion, further supporting the bullish momentum.
4. Caveats and contrarian views
Despite the optimism, data also show the relationship between debt expansion and BTC gains isn’t always linear. Past American debt-limit increases didn’t always spark rallies, though Bitcoin’s resilience reflects fueled investor expectations.
What comes next?
- Trump expected to sign OBBA around July 4, setting the stage for a rapid liquidity wave.
- Watch for Bitcoin to test $150K if stimulus mirrors 2020 patterns — and global liquidity remains loose.
- Investors should monitor risk signals: debt charts, inflation data, and M2 trends as economic conditions evolve.
If Trump signs the “One Big Beautiful Bill,” history suggests Bitcoin could see a rapid near-40% surge, potentially reaching $150,000. Fueled by debt-driven liquidity expansion and persistent money supply growth, BTC’s upside is painting a bullish scenario — albeit one that hinges on macroeconomic and regulatory factors in coming weeks.
Source: Cointelegraph
Solo Bitcoin miner defies odds, wins ~$349K block reward
A lucky solo Bitcoin miner triumphed over exceptional odds by mining block 903,883 on July 3, 2025, earning a total of 3.173 BTC, approximately $349,000 at the time, through a modest 2.3 PH/s rig. The event serves as a rare reminder that, even in today’s industrialized mining landscape, small-scale operations can still strike gold.
How rare was this win?
- Odds of success: The miner had a 1 in 2,800 chance per day (0.004%), equivalent to one hit roughly every eight years — based on CKpool’s analysis.
- Reward breakdown: Earned a fixed 3.125 BTC subsidy plus 0.048 BTC in transaction fees — totaling 3.173 BTC.
- The miner used ~2.3 PH/s, likely composed of older-generation ASIC hardware.
Why this still matters
- Solo mining in a corporate era
Large mining farms dominate block production. A solo miner’s success underscores that with patience and luck, even small rigs can win — like striking the lottery. - Contrast with institutional miners
In June, industry giants like Riot, Cipher, and MARA temporarily throttled operations to ease energy costs — yet a lone miner still prevailed. - Solo streak continues
This is the third such win this year: Block 888,737 in March ($266K), block 899,826 in early June ($330K), and now this latest jackpot.
What It signals for the network
- Proof of decentralization: These events reaffirm Bitcoin’s open ethos — anyone who runs a node and miner operator can win.
- Psychology and hype: Headlines celebrating solo miners draw attention to Bitcoin’s grassroots strength, inspiring hobbyists and reinforcing confidence in the protocol.
- Long odds remain: While tiny-scale mining can hit occasionally, consistent profitability still requires scale — solo success is rare but symbolic.
Source: The Block
Three men sentenced to 12 years for crypto-related kidnapping in Belgium
A Brussels court has sentenced three men to 12 years in prison for the kidnapping of the wife of Belgian crypto investor Stéphane Winkel. The attackers demanded ransom in cryptocurrency. The court also ordered them to pay a civil fine of at least €1 million ($1.08 million). Police intervened mid-operation to rescue the victim safely.
What happened?
- In December 2024, Stéphane Winkel’s wife was abducted in broad daylight near their home. The kidnappers demanded ransom in Bitcoin.
- Belgian police tracked the suspects and intercepted their vehicle, rescuing the woman unharmed.
- All three men were convicted of kidnapping with extortion and sentenced to 12 years in prison. They were also ordered to pay civil damages of at least €1 million.
- The masterminds behind the operation remain at large, and one minor is also under investigation.
Impact on Winkel and the Belgian crypto scene
Stéphane Winkel is a well-known crypto entrepreneur and educator in Belgium, operating platforms such as Crypto Académie and Crypto Sun. He has over 40,000 YouTube subscribers. After the incident, Winkel stressed the importance of personal safety and resumed public activity only in June 2025, keeping his content focused and private.
Why it matters: crypto security in the real world
- Physical threats are rising for public crypto figures
The incident follows a June 2024 case in France, where a crypto holder was abducted and forced to hand over access to his wallet. Kidnappings for crypto ransom are becoming more common as adoption grows. - Security must go beyond passwords
Winkel’s change in behavior highlights the need for public figures to invest in physical security, avoid exposing holdings, and reassess public visibility. - Precedent-setting legal action
The Belgian court’s strong sentencing and civil penalties send a clear signal: crypto-related kidnapping will be prosecuted as a serious criminal and civil offense.
The 12-year prison sentences issued in Belgium demonstrate how the digital economy is increasingly linked to physical risks. As crypto adoption grows, public-facing investors and influencers must implement stronger personal safety protocols. This case also sets a legal precedent: extortion involving crypto is treated with the full force of both criminal and civil law.
Source: Cointelegraph